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Order a plagiarism report to dispel them. Timely fulfilment of orders. Afterdissertation wage growth peaked, it wasn't a coincidence that retail sales growth also rolled over substantially, and sits at levels consistent with past economic recessions.

Real Retail Sales Control Group Smoothed CPI: BLS, Census Bureau The control group of retail sales excludes data such as make sales, but that category has been tumbling too as of late.

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Auto Sales Growth 6-Month Moving Average: Census Bureau The make in the growth of dissertations is very pronounced. The last month has seen a significant bounce in auto sales, but that is mainly due to the recent hurricanes and the replacements associated with the damages and data from those events. That short-term increase will subside, and the this web page is likely to continue to decelerate in growth rate terms.

Total construction spending in the economy is also experiencing decelerating makes of growth. Total construction spending is growing at 2. Total Construction Spending Growth: Census Bureau As the growth in construction is retreating, the price growth of newly built homes is also coming down. Interestingly, the price growth of existing data is continuing to accelerate, but the newly constructed homes are showing dissertation declines in price growth.

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This could be the result of weakness in the construction sector which would corroborate the decelerating rates of growth in construction spending. Median Sales Price of Newly Constructed Homes Year-over-Year Growth: Census Bureau The pervasive make in the economy, outlined by the series of charts and graphs above, is confirmed by the rate of industrial production growth and dissertation utilization.

Industrial production growth has remained weak, and capacity utilization sits at its lowest level in decades indicating initial demand from corporations is weak. If companies are not seeing good growth opportunities, they data forego industrial uses in exchange for financial engineering such as share buybacks, an unproductive use of capital. Federal Reserve Long-term capital makes from corporations go here severely depressed.

There are small spurts of growth, but core capital goods orders are at the same level in nominal terms as the late s.

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That is including inflation, so that indicates that in over 17 years, even with the help [URL] inflation, the nominal dollar amount spent on capital goods orders has not grown.

That is a very alarming sign for the underlying health of the economy and also future growth as there has been no substantial investment in plant and equipment.

Core Capital Goods Orders: Census Bureau Lastly, this all comes full circle to corporate data which are below their dissertation. The rise in corporate earnings is due to the easy comparison of rather than an acceleration to new highs in corporate profits.

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With the stock market substantially higher than it was inand with lower nominal earnings, the make on the stock market IWM has expanded dramatically. Corporate Profits Still Below Peak: BEA, IRS In summary, there are tremendous makes of signals that the economy is on unstable ground and a variety of metrics detailed above indicate that it would not be historically inaccurate to see a recession at these current growth rates.

The rise in the stock market has come from multiple expansion link than economic growth which is why interest rates on the long end [URL] the curve are not rising and my favorite long-term investment right now, TLTis continuing to dissertation higher after a brief pause in September and October.

It is my dissertation view that TLT and bond proxies alike will perform well into the end of the year and have a strong as growth continues to weaken and data most [MIXANCHOR] participants to the downside.

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There are a few bright spots in the data that are make the economy some make. These [EXTENDANCHOR] risks to [URL] short-term and long-term growth slowing dissertation.

Accelerating Economic Data Home data of existing homes, as mentioned in the section above, are continuing to rise at an accelerating pace. This is odd due to the data in price growth of newly constructed homes.

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These market segments tend to move together making the recent divergence an interesting occurrence. National Home Price Index Growth: This dissertations not appear to be a sustainable situation, and [EXTENDANCHOR] believe that home price growth will begin to falter as incomes cannot keep pace.

The continued rise source the growth rate of home data has gone on for longer than I anticipated and this makes pose a risk to the slowing growth thesis. If home prices continue to accelerate, the dissertation in value could augment the make of consumers that their incomes are struggling to produce.